聊聊Elasticsearch的ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage

public class ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage {

    private final double alpha;
    private final AtomicLong averageBits;

    /**
     * Create a new EWMA with a given {@code alpha} and {@code initialAvg}. A smaller alpha means
     * that new data points will have less weight, where a high alpha means older data points will
     * have a lower influence.
     */
    public ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(double alpha, double initialAvg) {
        if (alpha < 0 || alpha > 1) {
            throw new IllegalArgumentException("alpha must be greater or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1");
        }
        this.alpha = alpha;
        this.averageBits = new AtomicLong(Double.doubleToLongBits(initialAvg));
    }

    public double getAverage() {
        return Double.longBitsToDouble(this.averageBits.get());
    }

    public void addValue(double newValue) {
        boolean successful = false;
        do {
            final long currentBits = this.averageBits.get();
            final double currentAvg = getAverage();
            final double newAvg = (alpha * newValue) + ((1 - alpha) * currentAvg);
            final long newBits = Double.doubleToLongBits(newAvg);
            successful = averageBits.compareAndSet(currentBits, newBits);
        } while (successful == false);
    }
}

public class ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverageTests extends ESTestCase {

    public void testEWMA() {
        final ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage ewma = new ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(0.5, 10);
        ewma.addValue(12);
        assertThat(ewma.getAverage(), equalTo(11.0));
        ewma.addValue(10);
        ewma.addValue(15);
        ewma.addValue(13);
        assertThat(ewma.getAverage(), equalTo(12.875));
    }

    public void testInvalidAlpha() {
        IllegalArgumentException ex = expectThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class, () -> new ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(-0.5, 10));
        assertThat(ex.getMessage(), equalTo("alpha must be greater or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1"));

        ex = expectThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class, () -> new ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(1.5, 10));
        assertThat(ex.getMessage(), equalTo("alpha must be greater or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1"));
    }

    public void testConvergingToValue() {
        final ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage ewma = new ExponentiallyWeightedMovingAverage(0.5, 10000);
        for (int i = 0; i < 100000; i++) {
            ewma.addValue(1);
        }
        assertThat(ewma.getAverage(), lessThan(2.0));
    }
}