IDC：2018年全球云预测

2017年12月，IDC发布研究报告IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Cloud 2018 Predictions，对2018年全球云计算趋势做了10点预测，分别涉及多云管理、API经济、云支出、应用支持重组、开发生命周期自动化、资产以行业云为导向、安全一致性、行业标准API、云原生以及行业云数据的增长。

其中，让小编感悟最深的是以下三点：API经济、支撑数据货币化以及行业数据的共享。

根据报告的预测，小编认为，云计算正通过PaaS服务以及API的共享面向开发者提高效率，技术部门也在由传统基于项目的思维向可重复利用成果的思维模式转变。同时，API经济也能让组织间共享成果，通过标准化的API促成数据的标准化，支撑数据货币化。数据货币化将进一步支撑行业数据的共享以及大数据的发展。

以下是10条预测原文及参考翻译。

Prediction 1: By 2020, over 90% of enterprises will use multiple cloud services and platforms — a transition supported by investments to manage resources across platforms — with more than one-third of these organizations having established mechanisms to operate their multi-cloud environments.

预测1：到2020年，超过90%的企业将会使用多云服务和平台——需要投资支撑转型来管理跨平台资源——这些企业中，超过1/3将建立运行多云平台的机制。

Prediction 2: In three years, 75% of organizations will have core cloud API trategies as part of their DX architectures to enable an API-driven economy, with new roducts built on digital platforms that orchestrate information exchange between ultiple organizations in their ecosystems.

预测2：3年内，75%的组织将通过在数字平台上线能够协调内部组织之间信息交换的新产品，来将“云API战略”作为数字化转型架构的一部分，赋能API驱动经济。

Prediction 3: Over the next 12 months, enterprises will see a shift in IT operations spend from on premises to public cloud, with over 30% of enterprises spending more on public cloud operations than on their other datacenter IT operations combined (if applicable).

预测3：在接下来12个月内，企业将看到IT运维支出从本地向公有云的转变，超过30%的企业在将在公有云上花费比本地数据中心运维更多的钱（如果企业拥有可用的数据中心）。

Prediction 4:By 2020, 25% of enterprises will reorganize to separate support for SaaS solutions from development and delivery of custom applications, which will primarily use cloud native technology.

预测4：到2020年，25%的企业将把SaaS解决方案与自定义应用开发交付分离，后者将主要采用云原生技术。

Prediction 5:Within the next three years, automation will improve development efficiency by up to 25%, supported by analytics-based real-time decisions in configuring IT environments and a low/no code approach to building business solutions.

预测5：接下来3年中，通过在配置IT环境时基于分析的实施决策和构建无代码或少量代码的业务解决方案的方法，自动化将提高开发效率多达25%。

Prediction 6:By 2019, more than 40% of industry clouds serving manufacturers, oil and gas companies, and utilities will include data from operational assets, supporting these companies' increasing maturity in operational transformation and their ability to monetize such data.

预测6：到2019年，超过40%服务制造业、石油天然气和公共事业的行业云将包含来自经营资产的数据，用以支撑这些公司在操作转换方面的日益成熟，以及数据货币化的能力。

Prediction 7:In two years, enterprises will be able to execute 50% of core security actions, such as policy setting and monitoring, with consistent workflows across all major public cloud platforms.

预测7：两年内，企业将能够通过一致的工作流在所有主要公有云平台上执行50%的核心安全操作（如策略设置和监控）。

Prediction 8:Within 2 years, at least one-third of Industry Clouds will support industry standard APIs, helping companies connect more easily and securely, accelerating the DX Econommy.

预测8：两年内，至少1/3的行业云将支持行业标准API，帮助企业更加快速、安全上云，加速数字化转型经济。

Prediction 9:By 2021, 80% of application development using PaaS will include microservices and cloud functions —essentials in making real-time decisions in response to events emanating from asset-intensive digitalbusiness.

预测9：到2021年，80%应用PaaS的应用开发将包含微服务和云函数——在对资产密集型数字业务响应做实时决策中必不可少。

Prediction 10:Industry-cloud-stored data shared between enterprises will more than double over the next 24 months— from the current 300 exabytes to over 700 exabytes — as sole reliance on internal proprietary enterprise data becomes increasingly insufficient to combat industry-wide problems.

预测10：在未来24个月内，企业间共享的行业云存储数据将增加一倍以上，从当前300EB到超过700EB，仅靠内部专有企业数据已经越来越不足以解决整个行业的问题。

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